Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra l'8 agosto?
27°C 39%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 39%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
23°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$189 Vol.
8%
26°C
$60 Vol.
18%
27°C
$455 Vol.
39%
28°C
$24 Vol.
29%
29°C
$28 Vol.
8%
30°C
$4 Vol.
8%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C
$77 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$50 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$917Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$917Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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