Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid l'8 agosto?
38°C 48%
37°C 32%
39°C 22%
40°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
34°C o inferiore
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
32%
38°C
48%
39°C
22%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o superiore
<1%
38°C 48%
37°C 32%
39°C 22%
40°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
34°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
2%
35°C
$20 Vol.
3%
36°C
$99 Vol.
5%
37°C
$216 Vol.
32%
38°C
$259 Vol.
48%
39°C
$490 Vol.
22%
40°C
$29 Vol.
5%
41°C
$27 Vol.
2%
42°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
44°C o superiore
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,299Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,299Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 37–38°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 38°C (48%) or 37°C (29%). Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and a stable ridge support modest intensification beyond the long-term August mean of roughly 32–34°C, while limited moisture reduces cooling potential. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread ahead of resolution, which hinges on official AEMET station measurements; any late-day deviation or revision represents the main uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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