Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 29°C on August 10, with a range of 29–35°C under mainly fine conditions driven by subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. This setup promotes clear skies and reduced moisture, limiting overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical environment while sustaining elevated baseline temperatures amid the ongoing heatwave. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal warmth for August–October, consistent with long-term climate trends. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes reflects model consensus around these thresholds, though minor variations in wind patterns or localized humidity could shift the exact minimum within the narrow probability spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 10 agosto?
30°C 35%
29°C 31%
28°C 14%
27°C 6%
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
38%
30°C
35%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 31%
28°C 14%
27°C 6%
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
38%
30°C
35%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 29°C on August 10, with a range of 29–35°C under mainly fine conditions driven by subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. This setup promotes clear skies and reduced moisture, limiting overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical environment while sustaining elevated baseline temperatures amid the ongoing heatwave. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal warmth for August–October, consistent with long-term climate trends. Trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes reflects model consensus around these thresholds, though minor variations in wind patterns or localized humidity could shift the exact minimum within the narrow probability spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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