Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Ankara on August 10 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 44.5%. Typical late-summer conditions feature a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear subsidence and surface heating, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings a degree higher or lower. With only 48 hours remaining, updates from regional models will be the key catalyst likely to refine the current 24.5% and 22% probabilities attached to 32°C and 30°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 10 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 10 agosto?
31°C 45%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
33°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
22%
31°C
45%
32°C
24%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
33°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 ago 2026
27°C or below
$412 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$32 Vol.
1%
29°C
$119 Vol.
5%
30°C
$171 Vol.
22%
31°C
$102 Vol.
45%
32°C
$734 Vol.
24%
33°C
$80 Vol.
5%
34°C
$20 Vol.
3%
35°C
$83 Vol.
1%
36°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Ankara on August 10 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 44.5%. Typical late-summer conditions feature a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear subsidence and surface heating, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings a degree higher or lower. With only 48 hours remaining, updates from regional models will be the key catalyst likely to refine the current 24.5% and 22% probabilities attached to 32°C and 30°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,276Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Ankara on August 10 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 44.5%. Typical late-summer conditions feature a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear subsidence and surface heating, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings a degree higher or lower. With only 48 hours remaining, updates from regional models will be the key catalyst likely to refine the current 24.5% and 22% probabilities attached to 32°C and 30°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,276Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 31°C in Ankara on August 10 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 44.5%. Typical late-summer conditions feature a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear subsidence and surface heating, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings a degree higher or lower. With only 48 hours remaining, updates from regional models will be the key catalyst likely to refine the current 24.5% and 22% probabilities attached to 32°C and 30°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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