**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s August 10 high centers on 34 °C (49 %) and 35 °C (26.5 %), reflecting consensus forecasts of near-to-slightly-above seasonal norms.** August climatology for coastal Tel Aviv yields average daily maxima of 31–32 °C under typical subtropical high-pressure subsidence, strong solar insolation, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. Current model guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles projects 32–34 °C on the 10th, with clear skies and light northerly flow supporting modest afternoon heating but no pronounced warm advection or heat-dome reinforcement. Recent short-range updates have held steady without signals of intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated on 33–35 °C while assigning low weight to outliers below 32 °C or above 36 °C. The implied distribution therefore mirrors the narrow uncertainty range typical of Mediterranean summer days when steering patterns remain stable and no major synoptic shift is anticipated before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 10 agosto?
34°C 49%
35°C 27%
33°C 18%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
49%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
35°C 27%
33°C 18%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
49%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s August 10 high centers on 34 °C (49 %) and 35 °C (26.5 %), reflecting consensus forecasts of near-to-slightly-above seasonal norms.** August climatology for coastal Tel Aviv yields average daily maxima of 31–32 °C under typical subtropical high-pressure subsidence, strong solar insolation, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. Current model guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles projects 32–34 °C on the 10th, with clear skies and light northerly flow supporting modest afternoon heating but no pronounced warm advection or heat-dome reinforcement. Recent short-range updates have held steady without signals of intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated on 33–35 °C while assigning low weight to outliers below 32 °C or above 36 °C. The implied distribution therefore mirrors the narrow uncertainty range typical of Mediterranean summer days when steering patterns remain stable and no major synoptic shift is anticipated before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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