Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and the BBC indicate a high near 31°C for Istanbul on August 10 under persistent sunny conditions and moderate northerly winds, while the UK Met Office projects 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 27°C, likely incorporates typical model spread in late-summer Mediterranean setups, local station measurement protocols, and historical August variability around the 27–29°C climatological range. Stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk and consistent insolation supports these mid-to-upper 20s outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover before resolution could adjust the peak. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours represent the key upcoming catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 10 agosto?
28°C 54%
27°C 27%
29°C 18%
26°C 3%
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
54%
29°C
18%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 27%
29°C 18%
26°C 3%
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
54%
29°C
18%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and the BBC indicate a high near 31°C for Istanbul on August 10 under persistent sunny conditions and moderate northerly winds, while the UK Met Office projects 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 27°C, likely incorporates typical model spread in late-summer Mediterranean setups, local station measurement protocols, and historical August variability around the 27–29°C climatological range. Stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk and consistent insolation supports these mid-to-upper 20s outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover before resolution could adjust the peak. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours represent the key upcoming catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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