Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum near 28°C on August 9 amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that restrict overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention maintains elevated readings. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 34% and 29°C at 27%, reflecting model consensus and the absence of typhoon influences or cooler air intrusions that could depress the low. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026 due to long-term warming trends and ENSO factors, with traders monitoring evening observations and refined model runs ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 9 agosto?
28°C 34%
29°C 29%
30°C 19%
27°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
14%
27°C
17%
28°C
34%
29°C
29%
30°C
19%
31°C
14%
32°C
15%
33°C
10%
34°C o superiore
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 29%
30°C 19%
27°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$12 Vol.
1%
25°C
$12 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
29%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$277 Vol.
15%
33°C
$12 Vol.
10%
34°C o superiore
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum near 28°C on August 9 amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that restrict overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention maintains elevated readings. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 34% and 29°C at 27%, reflecting model consensus and the absence of typhoon influences or cooler air intrusions that could depress the low. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026 due to long-term warming trends and ENSO factors, with traders monitoring evening observations and refined model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$325Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum near 28°C on August 9 amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that restrict overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention maintains elevated readings. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 34% and 29°C at 27%, reflecting model consensus and the absence of typhoon influences or cooler air intrusions that could depress the low. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026 due to long-term warming trends and ENSO factors, with traders monitoring evening observations and refined model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$325Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum near 28°C on August 9 amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that restrict overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention maintains elevated readings. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 34% and 29°C at 27%, reflecting model consensus and the absence of typhoon influences or cooler air intrusions that could depress the low. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026 due to long-term warming trends and ENSO factors, with traders monitoring evening observations and refined model runs ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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