Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international forecasters indicates a nighttime minimum near 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 9, driven by typical early-August climatology of 24–27°C lows under persistent summer humidity and weak synoptic forcing. High dew points and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies support this range, with minimal day-to-day variability expected absent stronger frontal systems. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26°C, reflecting these stable atmospheric conditions and historical precedent for the period. Updated short-range guidance in the coming 48 hours could refine the exact threshold if cloud cover or wind patterns shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 9 agosto?
25°C 47%
26°C 32%
23°C 7%
27°C 4.7%
18°C o inferiore
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
37%
25°C
47%
26°C
32%
27°C
5%
28°C o superiore
3%
25°C 47%
26°C 32%
23°C 7%
27°C 4.7%
18°C o inferiore
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
37%
25°C
47%
26°C
32%
27°C
5%
28°C o superiore
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international forecasters indicates a nighttime minimum near 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 9, driven by typical early-August climatology of 24–27°C lows under persistent summer humidity and weak synoptic forcing. High dew points and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies support this range, with minimal day-to-day variability expected absent stronger frontal systems. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26°C, reflecting these stable atmospheric conditions and historical precedent for the period. Updated short-range guidance in the coming 48 hours could refine the exact threshold if cloud cover or wind patterns shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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