Cape Town's winter climate features frequent cold fronts that advect cooler maritime air from the south Atlantic, often capping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages of 16–17°C. An approaching cold front around August 9 is expected to deliver partly cloudy skies, gusty southerly winds, and suppressed temperatures, with official guidance pointing to a high near 14°C. This aligns with model consensus showing limited warming ahead of the front and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 13–14°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios above 16°C carry low odds absent rapid ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these assessments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Città del Capo il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Città del Capo il 9 agosto?
14°C 36%
13°C 27%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
12%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C o superiore
1%
14°C 36%
13°C 27%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
8°C o inferiore
$194 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$28 Vol.
6%
12°C
$9 Vol.
12%
13°C
$40 Vol.
27%
14°C
$64 Vol.
36%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$41 Vol.
4%
17°C
$6 Vol.
2%
18°C o superiore
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climate features frequent cold fronts that advect cooler maritime air from the south Atlantic, often capping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages of 16–17°C. An approaching cold front around August 9 is expected to deliver partly cloudy skies, gusty southerly winds, and suppressed temperatures, with official guidance pointing to a high near 14°C. This aligns with model consensus showing limited warming ahead of the front and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 13–14°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios above 16°C carry low odds absent rapid ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$772Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climate features frequent cold fronts that advect cooler maritime air from the south Atlantic, often capping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages of 16–17°C. An approaching cold front around August 9 is expected to deliver partly cloudy skies, gusty southerly winds, and suppressed temperatures, with official guidance pointing to a high near 14°C. This aligns with model consensus showing limited warming ahead of the front and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 13–14°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios above 16°C carry low odds absent rapid ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$772Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cape Town's winter climate features frequent cold fronts that advect cooler maritime air from the south Atlantic, often capping daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages of 16–17°C. An approaching cold front around August 9 is expected to deliver partly cloudy skies, gusty southerly winds, and suppressed temperatures, with official guidance pointing to a high near 14°C. This aligns with model consensus showing limited warming ahead of the front and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 13–14°C outcomes, while warmer scenarios above 16°C carry low odds absent rapid ridging or delayed frontal passage. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these assessments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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