Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 7 agosto?
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
35°C 12%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
37%
34°C
42%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
35°C 12%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
30°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$17 Vol.
2%
32°C
$26 Vol.
9%
33°C
$113 Vol.
37%
34°C
$101 Vol.
42%
35°C
$62 Vol.
12%
36°C
$16 Vol.
2%
37°C
$22 Vol.
2%
38°C
$27 Vol.
1%
39°C
$25 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$430Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$430Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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