Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 5 agosto?
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$22,105 Vol.
$22,105 Vol.
5 ago 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
51%
37°C
38%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$22,105 Vol.
$22,105 Vol.
5 ago 2026
33°C or below
$1,685 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,047 Vol.
1%
35°C
$3,102 Vol.
9%
36°C
$2,779 Vol.
51%
37°C
$7,006 Vol.
38%
38°C
$2,060 Vol.
5%
39°C
$1,722 Vol.
1%
40°C
$689 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$443 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$22,105Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,105Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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