Recent weather models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C due to persistent subtropical humidity and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, with forecast guidance showing only modest day-to-day variation. Typical August climatology features lows around 25–26°C, but steering patterns and any late-afternoon thunderstorms could suppress or elevate the reading by 1–2°C. The close market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as traders weigh ensemble spreads from regional models against the moderating influence of the East China Sea and Shanghai's urban heat island. Updated forecasts ahead of the weekend will likely tighten consensus around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 9 agosto?
27°C 39%
28°C 33%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
39%
28°C
33%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
27°C 39%
28°C 33%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
39%
28°C
33%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C due to persistent subtropical humidity and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, with forecast guidance showing only modest day-to-day variation. Typical August climatology features lows around 25–26°C, but steering patterns and any late-afternoon thunderstorms could suppress or elevate the reading by 1–2°C. The close market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as traders weigh ensemble spreads from regional models against the moderating influence of the East China Sea and Shanghai's urban heat island. Updated forecasts ahead of the weekend will likely tighten consensus around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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