Current forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum around 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 12, aligning with the market's leading probabilities for those outcomes. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including high humidity, southerly monsoon flow, and scattered thunderstorms, typically cap daytime peaks while allowing brief spikes under clearer skies. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, with recent runs narrowing the range from broader August climatology of 33–34°C averages. Official observations on the day will resolve the market based on the verified peak at local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 12 agosto?
38°C 47%
37°C 31%
39°C 18%
36°C 5%
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
31%
38°C
47%
39°C
18%
40°C
4%
41°C o superiore
1%
38°C 47%
37°C 31%
39°C 18%
36°C 5%
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
31%
38°C
47%
39°C
18%
40°C
4%
41°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum around 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 12, aligning with the market's leading probabilities for those outcomes. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including high humidity, southerly monsoon flow, and scattered thunderstorms, typically cap daytime peaks while allowing brief spikes under clearer skies. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, with recent runs narrowing the range from broader August climatology of 33–34°C averages. Official observations on the day will resolve the market based on the verified peak at local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti