Forecast models and official guidance point to peak highs of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and typical late-summer atmospheric stability that limits cloud cover and rainfall. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C above surrounding rural stations, while high humidity (often 70–85%) supports sustained warmth without rapid cooling. Recent observations show consecutive days above 35°C, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon activity expected in the 48-hour window. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows limited spread around these values, aligning with trader consensus favoring 37°C as the modal outcome while leaving room for slight upward or downward revisions from final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou l'11 agosto?
37°C 46%
38°C 24%
36°C 19%
39°C 11%
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
19%
37°C
46%
38°C
24%
39°C
11%
40°C
3%
41°C o superiore
<1%
37°C 46%
38°C 24%
36°C 19%
39°C 11%
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
19%
37°C
46%
38°C
24%
39°C
11%
40°C
3%
41°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and official guidance point to peak highs of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and typical late-summer atmospheric stability that limits cloud cover and rainfall. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C above surrounding rural stations, while high humidity (often 70–85%) supports sustained warmth without rapid cooling. Recent observations show consecutive days above 35°C, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon activity expected in the 48-hour window. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows limited spread around these values, aligning with trader consensus favoring 37°C as the modal outcome while leaving room for slight upward or downward revisions from final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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