Recent European model runs from centers like ECMWF and DWD indicate a peak temperature near 31–32°C in Munich on August 11, 2026, under continued high-pressure subsidence that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited mixing. This setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 31°C outcome (37% implied probability) over 32°C (29%) and 30°C (20%), as afternoon wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 23–26°C, so the current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; updated 12Z model suites and any late-day convective development before resolution will determine whether probabilities tighten around 31°C or shift modestly higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco l'11 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco l'11 agosto?
31°C 37%
32°C 28%
30°C 21%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
21%
31°C
37%
32°C
28%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 28%
30°C 21%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$53 Vol.
1%
28°C
$53 Vol.
1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
3%
30°C
$512 Vol.
21%
31°C
$239 Vol.
37%
32°C
$233 Vol.
28%
33°C
$70 Vol.
9%
34°C
$68 Vol.
3%
35°C
$33 Vol.
2%
36°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
37°C o superiore
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs from centers like ECMWF and DWD indicate a peak temperature near 31–32°C in Munich on August 11, 2026, under continued high-pressure subsidence that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited mixing. This setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 31°C outcome (37% implied probability) over 32°C (29%) and 30°C (20%), as afternoon wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 23–26°C, so the current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; updated 12Z model suites and any late-day convective development before resolution will determine whether probabilities tighten around 31°C or shift modestly higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,423Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs from centers like ECMWF and DWD indicate a peak temperature near 31–32°C in Munich on August 11, 2026, under continued high-pressure subsidence that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited mixing. This setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 31°C outcome (37% implied probability) over 32°C (29%) and 30°C (20%), as afternoon wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 23–26°C, so the current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; updated 12Z model suites and any late-day convective development before resolution will determine whether probabilities tighten around 31°C or shift modestly higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,423Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model runs from centers like ECMWF and DWD indicate a peak temperature near 31–32°C in Munich on August 11, 2026, under continued high-pressure subsidence that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited mixing. This setup has shifted trader consensus toward the 31°C outcome (37% implied probability) over 32°C (29%) and 30°C (20%), as afternoon wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 23–26°C, so the current warmth reflects an anomalous ridge; updated 12Z model suites and any late-day convective development before resolution will determine whether probabilities tighten around 31°C or shift modestly higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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