Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on August 13, driven by ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that should limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. High humidity and convective activity further suppress peak readings, aligning with market-implied odds heavily favoring 29–30°C outcomes. Current conditions of overcast skies and thundershowers through August 11–12 reinforce expectations of modest cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions to 31°C or higher. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders monitoring these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 13 agosto?
30°C 43%
29°C 34%
31°C 14%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
34%
30°C
43%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 43%
29°C 34%
31°C 14%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$440 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$242 Vol.
1%
27°C
$678 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,273 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1,951 Vol.
34%
30°C
$849 Vol.
43%
31°C
$1,003 Vol.
14%
32°C
$354 Vol.
3%
33°C
$183 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$275 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on August 13, driven by ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that should limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. High humidity and convective activity further suppress peak readings, aligning with market-implied odds heavily favoring 29–30°C outcomes. Current conditions of overcast skies and thundershowers through August 11–12 reinforce expectations of modest cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions to 31°C or higher. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders monitoring these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,435Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on August 13, driven by ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that should limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. High humidity and convective activity further suppress peak readings, aligning with market-implied odds heavily favoring 29–30°C outcomes. Current conditions of overcast skies and thundershowers through August 11–12 reinforce expectations of modest cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions to 31°C or higher. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders monitoring these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,435Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on August 13, driven by ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that should limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. High humidity and convective activity further suppress peak readings, aligning with market-implied odds heavily favoring 29–30°C outcomes. Current conditions of overcast skies and thundershowers through August 11–12 reinforce expectations of modest cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions to 31°C or higher. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders monitoring these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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