Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 13 agosto?
16°C 25%
17°C 23%
15°C 18%
18°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
18%
16°C
25%
17°C
23%
18°C
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C o superiore
2%
16°C 25%
17°C 23%
15°C 18%
18°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$11 Vol.
3%
14°C
$20 Vol.
11%
15°C
$25 Vol.
18%
16°C
$75 Vol.
25%
17°C
$64 Vol.
23%
18°C
$236 Vol.
12%
19°C
$11 Vol.
6%
20°C
$17 Vol.
7%
21°C
$12 Vol.
7%
22°C o superiore
$12 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$488Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$488Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a cooling trend for Moscow by August 13, driven by a passing frontal system and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, with projected highs clustered between 15–18°C depending on exact timing of showers. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 15–17°C outcomes as these align with ensemble means showing modest variability from lingering warm advection versus stronger northerly flow. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from average and creates the tight market distribution ahead of final observational data from Russian meteorological stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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