Latest forecasts from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C in Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate northerly Etesian winds moderating Black Sea and Marmara Sea surface influences. These patterns keep daytime maxima close to the 27–29°C climatological range, with low precipitation risk and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects narrow uncertainty from potential wind shifts or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ highlight the narrow window before resolution by official Turkish Meteorological Service observations. Upcoming model runs may refine steering flows and diurnal maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 13 agosto?
28°C 47%
27°C 38%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
23°C o inferiore
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
45%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 38%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
23°C o inferiore
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
45%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C in Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate northerly Etesian winds moderating Black Sea and Marmara Sea surface influences. These patterns keep daytime maxima close to the 27–29°C climatological range, with low precipitation risk and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects narrow uncertainty from potential wind shifts or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ highlight the narrow window before resolution by official Turkish Meteorological Service observations. Upcoming model runs may refine steering flows and diurnal maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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