Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather project Milan highs of 35–36°C on August 11 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, positioning 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes at 40.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure over the Po Valley favors subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover, while typical late-summer climatology supports peaks near 30–32°C with potential for 3–5°C anomalies from clear conditions. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind; the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Italian Meteorological Service updates will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano l'11 agosto?
36°C 41%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 11%
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
12%
36°C
41%
37°C
29%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 11%
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
12%
36°C
41%
37°C
29%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather project Milan highs of 35–36°C on August 11 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, positioning 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes at 40.5% and 28.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure over the Po Valley favors subsidence warming and minimal cloud cover, while typical late-summer climatology supports peaks near 30–32°C with potential for 3–5°C anomalies from clear conditions. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind; the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Italian Meteorological Service updates will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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