Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows a cooling trend driven by strengthened onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, moderating temperatures after earlier August heat. This setup typically caps daily highs near downtown stations in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal 84°F average, aligning with the market’s 55% implied probability on 78-79°F and 34.5% on 76-77°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited warming potential through the Aug 11 window due to stable high pressure offshore and minimal offshore wind events. Historical analogs from similar post-heat marine intrusions support this range, with little divergence among major models expected before final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles l'11 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles l'11 agosto?
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
NUOVO
$15,361 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,361 Vol.
11 ago 2026
69°F o inferiore
<1%
21-22°C
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
55%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
NUOVO
$15,361 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,361 Vol.
11 ago 2026
69°F o inferiore
$786 Vol.
<1%
21-22°C
$802 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$680 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$687 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$1,133 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$3,630 Vol.
55%
80-81°F
$815 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$940 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$2,143 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,038 Vol.
<1%
88°F o superiore
$707 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows a cooling trend driven by strengthened onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, moderating temperatures after earlier August heat. This setup typically caps daily highs near downtown stations in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal 84°F average, aligning with the market’s 55% implied probability on 78-79°F and 34.5% on 76-77°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited warming potential through the Aug 11 window due to stable high pressure offshore and minimal offshore wind events. Historical analogs from similar post-heat marine intrusions support this range, with little divergence among major models expected before final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$15,361Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows a cooling trend driven by strengthened onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, moderating temperatures after earlier August heat. This setup typically caps daily highs near downtown stations in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal 84°F average, aligning with the market’s 55% implied probability on 78-79°F and 34.5% on 76-77°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited warming potential through the Aug 11 window due to stable high pressure offshore and minimal offshore wind events. Historical analogs from similar post-heat marine intrusions support this range, with little divergence among major models expected before final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,361Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows a cooling trend driven by strengthened onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, moderating temperatures after earlier August heat. This setup typically caps daily highs near downtown stations in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal 84°F average, aligning with the market’s 55% implied probability on 78-79°F and 34.5% on 76-77°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited warming potential through the Aug 11 window due to stable high pressure offshore and minimal offshore wind events. Historical analogs from similar post-heat marine intrusions support this range, with little divergence among major models expected before final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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