Persistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 12 agosto?
36°C 46%
37°C 25%
35°C 24%
33°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
6%
35°C
24%
36°C
46%
37°C
25%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 46%
37°C 25%
35°C 24%
33°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$37 Vol.
1%
32°C
$112 Vol.
4%
33°C
$49 Vol.
6%
34°C
$40 Vol.
6%
35°C
$53 Vol.
24%
36°C
$267 Vol.
46%
37°C
$204 Vol.
25%
38°C
$27 Vol.
5%
39°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$914Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$914Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and ongoing summer heat across northern Taiwan, with recent daily highs of 34–36°C prompting Central Weather Administration alerts, position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei’s August 12 maximum at 46% implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show limited cooling potential from afternoon thunderstorms, while historical August climatology supports peaks near 35°C; recent model runs indicating possible 32–34°C highs under increased moisture have tempered but not displaced the hotter consensus among traders. Updated CWA guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether downslope warming or convective activity shifts the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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