Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s August 11 high near 69–70°F under typical marine-layer conditions, with westerly onshore flow and sea-surface temperatures around 58–60°F suppressing inland heat. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: stronger afternoon clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the low 70s, while persistent stratus or a stronger marine push would cap them in the upper 60s. Historical climatology for early August at downtown and KSFO stations centers on 69°F, so the near-even market split between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects traders pricing small forecast adjustments expected in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco l'11 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco l'11 agosto?
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
5%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
$1,111 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$1,244 Vol.
16%
68-69°F
$1,354 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$1,414 Vol.
35%
72-73°F
$1,040 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$855 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$493 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$490 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$541 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$545 Vol.
<1%
84°F o superiore
$466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s August 11 high near 69–70°F under typical marine-layer conditions, with westerly onshore flow and sea-surface temperatures around 58–60°F suppressing inland heat. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: stronger afternoon clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the low 70s, while persistent stratus or a stronger marine push would cap them in the upper 60s. Historical climatology for early August at downtown and KSFO stations centers on 69°F, so the near-even market split between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects traders pricing small forecast adjustments expected in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$9,552Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s August 11 high near 69–70°F under typical marine-layer conditions, with westerly onshore flow and sea-surface temperatures around 58–60°F suppressing inland heat. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: stronger afternoon clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the low 70s, while persistent stratus or a stronger marine push would cap them in the upper 60s. Historical climatology for early August at downtown and KSFO stations centers on 69°F, so the near-even market split between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects traders pricing small forecast adjustments expected in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,552Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s August 11 high near 69–70°F under typical marine-layer conditions, with westerly onshore flow and sea-surface temperatures around 58–60°F suppressing inland heat. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: stronger afternoon clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the low 70s, while persistent stratus or a stronger marine push would cap them in the upper 60s. Historical climatology for early August at downtown and KSFO stations centers on 69°F, so the near-even market split between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects traders pricing small forecast adjustments expected in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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