Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate light rain and possible thundery showers over Jinan on August 12, with daytime highs centered around 27–28°C. This aligns with the market's 90.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting persistent summer warmth despite modest cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation compared to earlier August heatwaves exceeding 35–40°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, with steering patterns and regional humidity supporting values well above the 26°C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly strong cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall to suppress the peak below this level, though current guidance places low odds on such an outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Jinan il 12 agosto?
26°C or higher 92%
25°C 9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
92%
26°C or higher 92%
25°C 9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
16°C or below
$459 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$72 Vol.
1%
22°C
$73 Vol.
1%
23°C
$117 Vol.
1%
24°C
$85 Vol.
1%
25°C
$266 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$363 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate light rain and possible thundery showers over Jinan on August 12, with daytime highs centered around 27–28°C. This aligns with the market's 90.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting persistent summer warmth despite modest cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation compared to earlier August heatwaves exceeding 35–40°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, with steering patterns and regional humidity supporting values well above the 26°C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly strong cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall to suppress the peak below this level, though current guidance places low odds on such an outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,851Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate light rain and possible thundery showers over Jinan on August 12, with daytime highs centered around 27–28°C. This aligns with the market's 90.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting persistent summer warmth despite modest cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation compared to earlier August heatwaves exceeding 35–40°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, with steering patterns and regional humidity supporting values well above the 26°C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly strong cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall to suppress the peak below this level, though current guidance places low odds on such an outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,851Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate light rain and possible thundery showers over Jinan on August 12, with daytime highs centered around 27–28°C. This aligns with the market's 90.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting persistent summer warmth despite modest cooling from increased cloud cover and precipitation compared to earlier August heatwaves exceeding 35–40°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperatures, with steering patterns and regional humidity supporting values well above the 26°C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly strong cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall to suppress the peak below this level, though current guidance places low odds on such an outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti