Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces muggy August nights with minimum temperatures of 25–27 °C, as high humidity and urban heat retention limit nocturnal cooling. Current model consensus and observational trends point to a similar regime for 14 August 2026, with overnight lows supported by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that further moderate temperature drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 26 °C (46.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %), reflecting this established baseline, while lower outcomes like 25 °C gain modest support from any stronger rainfall cooling. No major typhoon or frontal system is indicated in the latest guidance that would push readings outside the narrow 24–28 °C window, keeping market focus on fine-scale forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 14 agosto?
26°C 42%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
42%
27°C
32%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$28 Vol.
1%
23°C
$6 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$21 Vol.
42%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$16 Vol.
9%
29°C
$38 Vol.
5%
30°C o superiore
$28 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces muggy August nights with minimum temperatures of 25–27 °C, as high humidity and urban heat retention limit nocturnal cooling. Current model consensus and observational trends point to a similar regime for 14 August 2026, with overnight lows supported by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that further moderate temperature drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 26 °C (46.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %), reflecting this established baseline, while lower outcomes like 25 °C gain modest support from any stronger rainfall cooling. No major typhoon or frontal system is indicated in the latest guidance that would push readings outside the narrow 24–28 °C window, keeping market focus on fine-scale forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$157Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces muggy August nights with minimum temperatures of 25–27 °C, as high humidity and urban heat retention limit nocturnal cooling. Current model consensus and observational trends point to a similar regime for 14 August 2026, with overnight lows supported by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that further moderate temperature drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 26 °C (46.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %), reflecting this established baseline, while lower outcomes like 25 °C gain modest support from any stronger rainfall cooling. No major typhoon or frontal system is indicated in the latest guidance that would push readings outside the narrow 24–28 °C window, keeping market focus on fine-scale forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$157Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces muggy August nights with minimum temperatures of 25–27 °C, as high humidity and urban heat retention limit nocturnal cooling. Current model consensus and observational trends point to a similar regime for 14 August 2026, with overnight lows supported by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that further moderate temperature drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 26 °C (46.5 %) and 27 °C (34 %), reflecting this established baseline, while lower outcomes like 25 °C gain modest support from any stronger rainfall cooling. No major typhoon or frontal system is indicated in the latest guidance that would push readings outside the narrow 24–28 °C window, keeping market focus on fine-scale forecast adjustments over the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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