Recent El Niño conditions, with strengthening sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +1.5°C in the Niño 3.4 region, provide the main driver for trader positioning toward 32°C and 33°C as the highest temperature in Singapore on August 12. These outcomes align with historical August averages of 30–31°C at Changi station and observed recent daily highs near 32–33°C amid above-normal global temperatures. Short-term forecast models from regional agencies show limited day-to-day variability due to typical monsoon influences and high humidity, with only modest potential for brief spikes or suppression. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine resolution probabilities before the observation window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Singapore il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Singapore il 12 agosto?
32°C 53%
33°C 37%
31°C 7%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
53%
33°C
37%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 37%
31°C 7%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C or below
$363 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C
$33 Vol.
2%
31°C
$23 Vol.
7%
32°C
$112 Vol.
53%
33°C
$177 Vol.
37%
34°C
$267 Vol.
7%
35°C
$57 Vol.
1%
36°C
$12 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent El Niño conditions, with strengthening sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +1.5°C in the Niño 3.4 region, provide the main driver for trader positioning toward 32°C and 33°C as the highest temperature in Singapore on August 12. These outcomes align with historical August averages of 30–31°C at Changi station and observed recent daily highs near 32–33°C amid above-normal global temperatures. Short-term forecast models from regional agencies show limited day-to-day variability due to typical monsoon influences and high humidity, with only modest potential for brief spikes or suppression. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine resolution probabilities before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,097Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent El Niño conditions, with strengthening sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +1.5°C in the Niño 3.4 region, provide the main driver for trader positioning toward 32°C and 33°C as the highest temperature in Singapore on August 12. These outcomes align with historical August averages of 30–31°C at Changi station and observed recent daily highs near 32–33°C amid above-normal global temperatures. Short-term forecast models from regional agencies show limited day-to-day variability due to typical monsoon influences and high humidity, with only modest potential for brief spikes or suppression. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine resolution probabilities before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,097Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent El Niño conditions, with strengthening sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +1.5°C in the Niño 3.4 region, provide the main driver for trader positioning toward 32°C and 33°C as the highest temperature in Singapore on August 12. These outcomes align with historical August averages of 30–31°C at Changi station and observed recent daily highs near 32–33°C amid above-normal global temperatures. Short-term forecast models from regional agencies show limited day-to-day variability due to typical monsoon influences and high humidity, with only modest potential for brief spikes or suppression. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine resolution probabilities before the observation window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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