Subtropical high-pressure dominance over the Sichuan Basin is steering trader consensus toward a peak of 36°C (39.5% implied probability) or 37°C (33.5%) for Chongqing on August 12, with models converging on those values amid typical midsummer conditions. The basin's topography traps heat and moisture, amplifying daytime maxima through reduced ventilation and urban heat-island effects, while variable factors such as exact high-pressure positioning, afternoon cloud cover, or localized winds can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 35°C or 38°C hinge on deviations in forecast humidity or precipitation timing; official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 12 agosto?
36°C 40%
37°C 34%
35°C 13%
38°C 8%
NUOVO
$10,238 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,238 Vol.
12 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
13%
36°C
40%
37°C
34%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 40%
37°C 34%
35°C 13%
38°C 8%
NUOVO
$10,238 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,238 Vol.
12 ago 2026
31°C or below
$683 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$227 Vol.
1%
33°C
$702 Vol.
2%
34°C
$835 Vol.
6%
35°C
$401 Vol.
13%
36°C
$3,512 Vol.
40%
37°C
$1,535 Vol.
34%
38°C
$692 Vol.
8%
39°C
$383 Vol.
4%
40°C
$472 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$795 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical high-pressure dominance over the Sichuan Basin is steering trader consensus toward a peak of 36°C (39.5% implied probability) or 37°C (33.5%) for Chongqing on August 12, with models converging on those values amid typical midsummer conditions. The basin's topography traps heat and moisture, amplifying daytime maxima through reduced ventilation and urban heat-island effects, while variable factors such as exact high-pressure positioning, afternoon cloud cover, or localized winds can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 35°C or 38°C hinge on deviations in forecast humidity or precipitation timing; official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,238Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical high-pressure dominance over the Sichuan Basin is steering trader consensus toward a peak of 36°C (39.5% implied probability) or 37°C (33.5%) for Chongqing on August 12, with models converging on those values amid typical midsummer conditions. The basin's topography traps heat and moisture, amplifying daytime maxima through reduced ventilation and urban heat-island effects, while variable factors such as exact high-pressure positioning, afternoon cloud cover, or localized winds can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 35°C or 38°C hinge on deviations in forecast humidity or precipitation timing; official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,238Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Subtropical high-pressure dominance over the Sichuan Basin is steering trader consensus toward a peak of 36°C (39.5% implied probability) or 37°C (33.5%) for Chongqing on August 12, with models converging on those values amid typical midsummer conditions. The basin's topography traps heat and moisture, amplifying daytime maxima through reduced ventilation and urban heat-island effects, while variable factors such as exact high-pressure positioning, afternoon cloud cover, or localized winds can shift the recorded high by 1°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 35°C or 38°C hinge on deviations in forecast humidity or precipitation timing; official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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