**Recent post-heatwave moderation and increased cloud cover are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 30–31°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 14 high.** After an intense early-August heatwave that pushed Seoul above 39°C and set national records near 42.5°C, atmospheric patterns have shifted toward more stable, partly cloudy conditions with 20% precipitation probability, limiting daytime heating. Official KMA guidance points to a 34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet sea-breeze influences near Incheon and model consensus on reduced insolation have pulled implied probabilities toward the lower end of that range. With the 30°C and 31°C outcomes together commanding over 82% of the market, traders appear to weigh historical August averages (around 31–32°C) against current observational trends favoring slight cooling. Key upcoming inputs include the next KMA short-range update and any revisions in global ensemble guidance that could alter cloud or wind forecasts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 14 agosto?
31°C 45%
30°C 37%
32°C 13%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
$25,310 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,310 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
37%
31°C
45%
32°C
13%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 37%
32°C 13%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
$25,310 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,310 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$929 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,384 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,141 Vol.
6%
30°C
$4,071 Vol.
37%
31°C
$5,029 Vol.
45%
32°C
$3,535 Vol.
13%
33°C
$1,735 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,795 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$798 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent post-heatwave moderation and increased cloud cover are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 30–31°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 14 high.** After an intense early-August heatwave that pushed Seoul above 39°C and set national records near 42.5°C, atmospheric patterns have shifted toward more stable, partly cloudy conditions with 20% precipitation probability, limiting daytime heating. Official KMA guidance points to a 34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet sea-breeze influences near Incheon and model consensus on reduced insolation have pulled implied probabilities toward the lower end of that range. With the 30°C and 31°C outcomes together commanding over 82% of the market, traders appear to weigh historical August averages (around 31–32°C) against current observational trends favoring slight cooling. Key upcoming inputs include the next KMA short-range update and any revisions in global ensemble guidance that could alter cloud or wind forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$25,310Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent post-heatwave moderation and increased cloud cover are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 30–31°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 14 high.** After an intense early-August heatwave that pushed Seoul above 39°C and set national records near 42.5°C, atmospheric patterns have shifted toward more stable, partly cloudy conditions with 20% precipitation probability, limiting daytime heating. Official KMA guidance points to a 34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet sea-breeze influences near Incheon and model consensus on reduced insolation have pulled implied probabilities toward the lower end of that range. With the 30°C and 31°C outcomes together commanding over 82% of the market, traders appear to weigh historical August averages (around 31–32°C) against current observational trends favoring slight cooling. Key upcoming inputs include the next KMA short-range update and any revisions in global ensemble guidance that could alter cloud or wind forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,310Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent post-heatwave moderation and increased cloud cover are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 30–31°C for Seoul/Incheon’s August 14 high.** After an intense early-August heatwave that pushed Seoul above 39°C and set national records near 42.5°C, atmospheric patterns have shifted toward more stable, partly cloudy conditions with 20% precipitation probability, limiting daytime heating. Official KMA guidance points to a 34°C maximum under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet sea-breeze influences near Incheon and model consensus on reduced insolation have pulled implied probabilities toward the lower end of that range. With the 30°C and 31°C outcomes together commanding over 82% of the market, traders appear to weigh historical August averages (around 31–32°C) against current observational trends favoring slight cooling. Key upcoming inputs include the next KMA short-range update and any revisions in global ensemble guidance that could alter cloud or wind forecasts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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