**Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and KNMI position 26°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 37% implied probability.** Model consensus and recent runs show a modest cooldown from the preceding heatwave peak (with 30–34°C readings on prior days), driven by increasing cloud cover, light showers or overcast conditions, and a shift toward more typical late-summer synoptic patterns influenced by Atlantic flow. Ensemble guidance places the highest temperature most likely between 25–27°C, with limited upside risk above 28°C given expected moderation and minimal sunshine. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so the current setup reflects residual warmth tempered by these factors. Traders are closely watching the next model updates and any short-term observational shifts from KNMI or ECMWF for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 15 agosto?
26°C 37%
27°C 24%
25°C 22%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
$14,290 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,290 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
37%
27°C
24%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 24%
25°C 22%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
$14,290 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,290 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$362 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,680 Vol.
1%
22°C
$937 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,925 Vol.
5%
24°C
$1,829 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,715 Vol.
22%
26°C
$2,531 Vol.
37%
27°C
$1,808 Vol.
24%
28°C
$890 Vol.
5%
29°C
$317 Vol.
1%
30°C o superiore
$296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and KNMI position 26°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 37% implied probability.**
Model consensus and recent runs show a modest cooldown from the preceding heatwave peak (with 30–34°C readings on prior days), driven by increasing cloud cover, light showers or overcast conditions, and a shift toward more typical late-summer synoptic patterns influenced by Atlantic flow. Ensemble guidance places the highest temperature most likely between 25–27°C, with limited upside risk above 28°C given expected moderation and minimal sunshine. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so the current setup reflects residual warmth tempered by these factors. Traders are closely watching the next model updates and any short-term observational shifts from KNMI or ECMWF for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,290Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and KNMI position 26°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 37% implied probability.**
Model consensus and recent runs show a modest cooldown from the preceding heatwave peak (with 30–34°C readings on prior days), driven by increasing cloud cover, light showers or overcast conditions, and a shift toward more typical late-summer synoptic patterns influenced by Atlantic flow. Ensemble guidance places the highest temperature most likely between 25–27°C, with limited upside risk above 28°C given expected moderation and minimal sunshine. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so the current setup reflects residual warmth tempered by these factors. Traders are closely watching the next model updates and any short-term observational shifts from KNMI or ECMWF for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,290Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and KNMI position 26°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 37% implied probability.** Model consensus and recent runs show a modest cooldown from the preceding heatwave peak (with 30–34°C readings on prior days), driven by increasing cloud cover, light showers or overcast conditions, and a shift toward more typical late-summer synoptic patterns influenced by Atlantic flow. Ensemble guidance places the highest temperature most likely between 25–27°C, with limited upside risk above 28°C given expected moderation and minimal sunshine. Historical August averages hover near 21–22°C, so the current setup reflects residual warmth tempered by these factors. Traders are closely watching the next model updates and any short-term observational shifts from KNMI or ECMWF for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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