Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus for London on August 15 project a daytime maximum of 28°C under mainly sunny intervals, with possible scattered showers from weakening Atlantic influences, which underpins the near-even market weighting between 26°C and 27°C. Recent cooling after midweek heat has moderated expectations, while historical August averages near 22–24°C highlight the role of persistent high pressure in sustaining above-normal warmth. Minor differences in forecast cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal timing could shift the official London City Airport peak by 1–2°C, leaving traders sensitive to updated runs ahead of the weekend.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 15 agosto?
27°C 33%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
13%
26°C
32%
27°C
33%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
13%
26°C
32%
27°C
33%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus for London on August 15 project a daytime maximum of 28°C under mainly sunny intervals, with possible scattered showers from weakening Atlantic influences, which underpins the near-even market weighting between 26°C and 27°C. Recent cooling after midweek heat has moderated expectations, while historical August averages near 22–24°C highlight the role of persistent high pressure in sustaining above-normal warmth. Minor differences in forecast cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal timing could shift the official London City Airport peak by 1–2°C, leaving traders sensitive to updated runs ahead of the weekend.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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