Recent extreme heat across Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9 tied to subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, underpins trader focus on 32–34°C outcomes for August 13. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus point to persistent above-normal temperatures from the subtropical ridge, yet increasing cloudiness and isolated showers could moderate peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, while current conditions and ENSO-neutral patterns support slight upward bias. Updated short-range forecasts and any typhoon track shifts remain key variables that could tip resolution between the tightly contested 32°C and 33°C levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 13 agosto?
33°C 42%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
33%
33°C
42%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
27°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$77 Vol.
1%
30°C
$369 Vol.
2%
31°C
$114 Vol.
8%
32°C
$114 Vol.
33%
33°C
$281 Vol.
42%
34°C
$167 Vol.
18%
35°C
$293 Vol.
4%
36°C
$175 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extreme heat across Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9 tied to subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, underpins trader focus on 32–34°C outcomes for August 13. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus point to persistent above-normal temperatures from the subtropical ridge, yet increasing cloudiness and isolated showers could moderate peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, while current conditions and ENSO-neutral patterns support slight upward bias. Updated short-range forecasts and any typhoon track shifts remain key variables that could tip resolution between the tightly contested 32°C and 33°C levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,476Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extreme heat across Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9 tied to subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, underpins trader focus on 32–34°C outcomes for August 13. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus point to persistent above-normal temperatures from the subtropical ridge, yet increasing cloudiness and isolated showers could moderate peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, while current conditions and ENSO-neutral patterns support slight upward bias. Updated short-range forecasts and any typhoon track shifts remain key variables that could tip resolution between the tightly contested 32°C and 33°C levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,476Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent extreme heat across Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9 tied to subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, underpins trader focus on 32–34°C outcomes for August 13. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus point to persistent above-normal temperatures from the subtropical ridge, yet increasing cloudiness and isolated showers could moderate peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, while current conditions and ENSO-neutral patterns support slight upward bias. Updated short-range forecasts and any typhoon track shifts remain key variables that could tip resolution between the tightly contested 32°C and 33°C levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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