Latest meteorological model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 43.5% and 33%. In the region’s humid subtropical climate, summer temperatures are moderated by the East Asian monsoon and frequent convective cloud cover or showers that reduce solar heating. Official guidance, including Met Office runs showing 34°C and complementary forecasts near 33°C, reflects these conditions rather than clear-sky extremes. With only two days until resolution, any shift in short-range model output on moisture or wind patterns could adjust probabilities toward 35°C or lower values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 13 agosto?
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 13%
32°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
32%
34°C
44%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C o superiore
1%
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 13%
32°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$253 Vol.
1%
31°C
$271 Vol.
4%
32°C
$408 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,355 Vol.
32%
34°C
$2,162 Vol.
44%
35°C
$383 Vol.
13%
36°C
$594 Vol.
4%
37°C
$784 Vol.
2%
38°C o superiore
$999 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 43.5% and 33%. In the region’s humid subtropical climate, summer temperatures are moderated by the East Asian monsoon and frequent convective cloud cover or showers that reduce solar heating. Official guidance, including Met Office runs showing 34°C and complementary forecasts near 33°C, reflects these conditions rather than clear-sky extremes. With only two days until resolution, any shift in short-range model output on moisture or wind patterns could adjust probabilities toward 35°C or lower values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,788Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 43.5% and 33%. In the region’s humid subtropical climate, summer temperatures are moderated by the East Asian monsoon and frequent convective cloud cover or showers that reduce solar heating. Official guidance, including Met Office runs showing 34°C and complementary forecasts near 33°C, reflects these conditions rather than clear-sky extremes. With only two days until resolution, any shift in short-range model output on moisture or wind patterns could adjust probabilities toward 35°C or lower values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,788Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus for Shenzhen points to a daytime maximum of 33–34°C on August 13, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 43.5% and 33%. In the region’s humid subtropical climate, summer temperatures are moderated by the East Asian monsoon and frequent convective cloud cover or showers that reduce solar heating. Official guidance, including Met Office runs showing 34°C and complementary forecasts near 33°C, reflects these conditions rather than clear-sky extremes. With only two days until resolution, any shift in short-range model output on moisture or wind patterns could adjust probabilities toward 35°C or lower values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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