Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a post-heatwave cooldown over Paris by August 15, with increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and lighter winds that favor greater overnight radiative cooling. These conditions are expected to produce a daily minimum well below the 22 °C threshold, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18 °C lows. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below reflects both this forecast evolution and the low historical likelihood of sustained warmth through the night under such synoptic patterns. Updated runs through the weekend will further refine the exact minimum, but current guidance shows little support for outcomes above 22 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 15 agosto?
22°C o inferiore 82%
23°C 9%
24°C 5.6%
25°C 1.2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
82%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
22°C o inferiore 82%
23°C 9%
24°C 5.6%
25°C 1.2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$2,198 Vol.
82%
23°C
$1,067 Vol.
9%
24°C
$425 Vol.
6%
25°C
$334 Vol.
1%
26°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$377 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a post-heatwave cooldown over Paris by August 15, with increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and lighter winds that favor greater overnight radiative cooling. These conditions are expected to produce a daily minimum well below the 22 °C threshold, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18 °C lows. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below reflects both this forecast evolution and the low historical likelihood of sustained warmth through the night under such synoptic patterns. Updated runs through the weekend will further refine the exact minimum, but current guidance shows little support for outcomes above 22 °C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$6,060Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a post-heatwave cooldown over Paris by August 15, with increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and lighter winds that favor greater overnight radiative cooling. These conditions are expected to produce a daily minimum well below the 22 °C threshold, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18 °C lows. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below reflects both this forecast evolution and the low historical likelihood of sustained warmth through the night under such synoptic patterns. Updated runs through the weekend will further refine the exact minimum, but current guidance shows little support for outcomes above 22 °C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,060Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a post-heatwave cooldown over Paris by August 15, with increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and lighter winds that favor greater overnight radiative cooling. These conditions are expected to produce a daily minimum well below the 22 °C threshold, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18 °C lows. The market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below reflects both this forecast evolution and the low historical likelihood of sustained warmth through the night under such synoptic patterns. Updated runs through the weekend will further refine the exact minimum, but current guidance shows little support for outcomes above 22 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti