Trader consensus has locked onto a maximum temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on August 15, reflecting stable meteorological conditions reported by regional forecast models and surface observations. Persistent cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and a lack of strong subsidence have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings aligned with ensemble guidance rather than the seasonal August average near 31°C. Official stations use standardized Stevenson screens and hourly sampling protocols, giving short-term maximum forecasts very high skill at this lead time. Only rare post-processing revisions or highly localized urban heat-island anomalies would shift the recorded daily high away from 28°C, scenarios the market currently prices as negligible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 15 agosto?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$37,655 Vol.
$37,655 Vol.
15 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$37,655 Vol.
$37,655 Vol.
15 ago 2026
25°C or below
$193 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,015 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,093 Vol.
100%
29°C
$4,127 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,208 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,217 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,180 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a maximum temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on August 15, reflecting stable meteorological conditions reported by regional forecast models and surface observations. Persistent cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and a lack of strong subsidence have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings aligned with ensemble guidance rather than the seasonal August average near 31°C. Official stations use standardized Stevenson screens and hourly sampling protocols, giving short-term maximum forecasts very high skill at this lead time. Only rare post-processing revisions or highly localized urban heat-island anomalies would shift the recorded daily high away from 28°C, scenarios the market currently prices as negligible.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$37,655Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a maximum temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on August 15, reflecting stable meteorological conditions reported by regional forecast models and surface observations. Persistent cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and a lack of strong subsidence have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings aligned with ensemble guidance rather than the seasonal August average near 31°C. Official stations use standardized Stevenson screens and hourly sampling protocols, giving short-term maximum forecasts very high skill at this lead time. Only rare post-processing revisions or highly localized urban heat-island anomalies would shift the recorded daily high away from 28°C, scenarios the market currently prices as negligible.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,655Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked onto a maximum temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on August 15, reflecting stable meteorological conditions reported by regional forecast models and surface observations. Persistent cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and a lack of strong subsidence have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings aligned with ensemble guidance rather than the seasonal August average near 31°C. Official stations use standardized Stevenson screens and hourly sampling protocols, giving short-term maximum forecasts very high skill at this lead time. Only rare post-processing revisions or highly localized urban heat-island anomalies would shift the recorded daily high away from 28°C, scenarios the market currently prices as negligible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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