Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature in New York City on August 16 most likely between 68°F and 72°F, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. Persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and light winds under high pressure have limited overnight radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park and surrounding areas further moderates lows. August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 68–70°F, and the ongoing warmer-than-average pattern has kept recent observed lows in the low 70s. Updated forecast discussions and evening model runs from NWS New York will provide the next key data points ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 16 agosto?
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 10%
68-69°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
54%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 10%
68-69°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
$5 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$83 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$86 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
54%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$326 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$259 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature in New York City on August 16 most likely between 68°F and 72°F, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. Persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and light winds under high pressure have limited overnight radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park and surrounding areas further moderates lows. August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 68–70°F, and the ongoing warmer-than-average pattern has kept recent observed lows in the low 70s. Updated forecast discussions and evening model runs from NWS New York will provide the next key data points ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$801Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature in New York City on August 16 most likely between 68°F and 72°F, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. Persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and light winds under high pressure have limited overnight radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park and surrounding areas further moderates lows. August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 68–70°F, and the ongoing warmer-than-average pattern has kept recent observed lows in the low 70s. Updated forecast discussions and evening model runs from NWS New York will provide the next key data points ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$801Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature in New York City on August 16 most likely between 68°F and 72°F, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. Persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and light winds under high pressure have limited overnight radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Central Park and surrounding areas further moderates lows. August climatology shows typical overnight minima near 68–70°F, and the ongoing warmer-than-average pattern has kept recent observed lows in the low 70s. Updated forecast discussions and evening model runs from NWS New York will provide the next key data points ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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