Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to a minimum temperature of 81–82°F on August 16, consistent with the strong market weighting on the 80–83°F range. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 78°F, yet persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points, and the urban heat island effect have kept recent daily minima at 81–82°F. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight, while model consensus favors partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Updated NWS point forecasts through the weekend continue to show lows locked in the low 80s, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 84°F or below 80°F remain lower-probability outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering winds or cloud cover.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 agosto?
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 19%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 19%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
$131 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$82 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$213 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$116 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$189 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$150 Vol.
46%
84-85°F
$500 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$161 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$116 Vol.
<1%
92°F o superiore
$116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to a minimum temperature of 81–82°F on August 16, consistent with the strong market weighting on the 80–83°F range. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 78°F, yet persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points, and the urban heat island effect have kept recent daily minima at 81–82°F. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight, while model consensus favors partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Updated NWS point forecasts through the weekend continue to show lows locked in the low 80s, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 84°F or below 80°F remain lower-probability outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering winds or cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,793Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to a minimum temperature of 81–82°F on August 16, consistent with the strong market weighting on the 80–83°F range. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 78°F, yet persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points, and the urban heat island effect have kept recent daily minima at 81–82°F. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight, while model consensus favors partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Updated NWS point forecasts through the weekend continue to show lows locked in the low 80s, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 84°F or below 80°F remain lower-probability outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering winds or cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,793Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to a minimum temperature of 81–82°F on August 16, consistent with the strong market weighting on the 80–83°F range. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 78°F, yet persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points, and the urban heat island effect have kept recent daily minima at 81–82°F. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight, while model consensus favors partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Updated NWS point forecasts through the weekend continue to show lows locked in the low 80s, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 84°F or below 80°F remain lower-probability outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering winds or cloud cover.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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