Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 indicate a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, driving the near-even trader split between 23°C and 24°C implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical of subtropical summer nights, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow slightly greater temperature drops to 23°C or hold readings at 25°C. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations between 3–9 a.m. local time; traders weigh these variables against climatological August lows averaging 22–24°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 17 agosto?
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
25°C 23%
26°C 11%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
31%
24°C
28%
25°C
23%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C o superiore
1%
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
25°C 23%
26°C 11%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
31%
24°C
28%
25°C
23%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 indicate a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, driving the near-even trader split between 23°C and 24°C implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical of subtropical summer nights, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow slightly greater temperature drops to 23°C or hold readings at 25°C. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with resolution hinging on official overnight observations between 3–9 a.m. local time; traders weigh these variables against climatological August lows averaging 22–24°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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