Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus project an overnight minimum of 18–19 °C for London on August 17, supported by a stable warm air mass, limited cloud cover, and light winds that moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28 °C. These values exceed the long-term August average low of 13–15 °C because of the ongoing late-summer warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18 °C and 19 °C as the resolution hinges on the precise timing of any frontal passage or increased cloud that could allow slightly greater cooling. Updated short-range forecasts and local station observations on the 16th–17th will refine the exact minimum before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 17 agosto?
18°C 37%
19°C 31%
20°C 16%
17°C 14%
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
37%
19°C
31%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 31%
20°C 16%
17°C 14%
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
37%
19°C
31%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus project an overnight minimum of 18–19 °C for London on August 17, supported by a stable warm air mass, limited cloud cover, and light winds that moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28 °C. These values exceed the long-term August average low of 13–15 °C because of the ongoing late-summer warmth. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18 °C and 19 °C as the resolution hinges on the precise timing of any frontal passage or increased cloud that could allow slightly greater cooling. Updated short-range forecasts and local station observations on the 16th–17th will refine the exact minimum before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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