Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 16 agosto?
26°C 42%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
$14,358 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,358 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
42%
27°C
29%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 29%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
$14,358 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,358 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
$1,549 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,230 Vol.
3%
25°C
$4,189 Vol.
18%
26°C
$1,946 Vol.
42%
27°C
$2,188 Vol.
29%
28°C
$771 Vol.
6%
29°C
$569 Vol.
3%
30°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$14,358Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,358Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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