Persistent marine layer and onshore Pacific flow are anchoring trader consensus around an 68–69°F high for San Francisco on August 14, with NWS guidance and extended models showing highs near 67–69°F amid a cooling trend from upper-level troughing. This reflects typical late-summer coastal dynamics, where cool sea-surface temperatures and afternoon sea breezes limit warming despite August climatology favoring highs near 70°F. Recent observations confirm the marine influence suppressing interior heat advection, keeping downtown readings well below inland values. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in low-level wind patterns over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge probabilities toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 14 agosto?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
59°F o meno
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
59°F o meno
$515 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$148 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$818 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$386 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$2,261 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$439 Vol.
42%
70-71°F
$710 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$1,115 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$354 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$30 Vol.
<1%
78°F o superiore
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore Pacific flow are anchoring trader consensus around an 68–69°F high for San Francisco on August 14, with NWS guidance and extended models showing highs near 67–69°F amid a cooling trend from upper-level troughing. This reflects typical late-summer coastal dynamics, where cool sea-surface temperatures and afternoon sea breezes limit warming despite August climatology favoring highs near 70°F. Recent observations confirm the marine influence suppressing interior heat advection, keeping downtown readings well below inland values. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in low-level wind patterns over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge probabilities toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,059Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore Pacific flow are anchoring trader consensus around an 68–69°F high for San Francisco on August 14, with NWS guidance and extended models showing highs near 67–69°F amid a cooling trend from upper-level troughing. This reflects typical late-summer coastal dynamics, where cool sea-surface temperatures and afternoon sea breezes limit warming despite August climatology favoring highs near 70°F. Recent observations confirm the marine influence suppressing interior heat advection, keeping downtown readings well below inland values. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in low-level wind patterns over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge probabilities toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,059Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore Pacific flow are anchoring trader consensus around an 68–69°F high for San Francisco on August 14, with NWS guidance and extended models showing highs near 67–69°F amid a cooling trend from upper-level troughing. This reflects typical late-summer coastal dynamics, where cool sea-surface temperatures and afternoon sea breezes limit warming despite August climatology favoring highs near 70°F. Recent observations confirm the marine influence suppressing interior heat advection, keeping downtown readings well below inland values. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in low-level wind patterns over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge probabilities toward the 66–67°F or 70–71°F brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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