Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 15, 2026, indicate a mild overnight period with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the dominant market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects the consensus from official guidance showing limited radiative cooling and above-average nighttime readings consistent with the broader summer pattern of elevated minima. Traders have incorporated these model runs, which show little spread around the 20 °C threshold, into the 94 % probability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler northerly air or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, potentially lowering the official minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 15 agosto?
20°C 96%
19°C 4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$16,187 Vol.
$16,187 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
96%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 96%
19°C 4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$16,187 Vol.
$16,187 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$831 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,592 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,977 Vol.
4%
20°C
$4,746 Vol.
96%
21°C
$2,463 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 15, 2026, indicate a mild overnight period with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the dominant market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects the consensus from official guidance showing limited radiative cooling and above-average nighttime readings consistent with the broader summer pattern of elevated minima. Traders have incorporated these model runs, which show little spread around the 20 °C threshold, into the 94 % probability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler northerly air or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, potentially lowering the official minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$16,187Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 15, 2026, indicate a mild overnight period with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the dominant market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects the consensus from official guidance showing limited radiative cooling and above-average nighttime readings consistent with the broader summer pattern of elevated minima. Traders have incorporated these model runs, which show little spread around the 20 °C threshold, into the 94 % probability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler northerly air or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, potentially lowering the official minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,187Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 15, 2026, indicate a mild overnight period with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, establishing the dominant market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects the consensus from official guidance showing limited radiative cooling and above-average nighttime readings consistent with the broader summer pattern of elevated minima. Traders have incorporated these model runs, which show little spread around the 20 °C threshold, into the 94 % probability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler northerly air or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, potentially lowering the official minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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