Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 15, 2026, supports trader consensus around a 20°C minimum, with forecasts indicating overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear to hazy conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention often prevents deeper cooling despite daytime highs near 27–28°C. The overwhelming 93% implied probability reflects tight clustering in official guidance and low expected variability from synoptic patterns. A sudden shift in cloud cover or unforecasted advection of cooler air could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations and model runs show limited scope for such deviations before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 15 agosto?
20°C 94%
19°C 6%
18°C <1%
14°C o inferiore <1%
$16,841 Vol.
$16,841 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
94%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 94%
19°C 6%
18°C <1%
14°C o inferiore <1%
$16,841 Vol.
$16,841 Vol.
15 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$831 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,592 Vol.
1%
19°C
$3,137 Vol.
6%
20°C
$5,203 Vol.
94%
21°C
$2,499 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 15, 2026, supports trader consensus around a 20°C minimum, with forecasts indicating overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear to hazy conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention often prevents deeper cooling despite daytime highs near 27–28°C. The overwhelming 93% implied probability reflects tight clustering in official guidance and low expected variability from synoptic patterns. A sudden shift in cloud cover or unforecasted advection of cooler air could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations and model runs show limited scope for such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$16,841Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 15, 2026, supports trader consensus around a 20°C minimum, with forecasts indicating overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear to hazy conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention often prevents deeper cooling despite daytime highs near 27–28°C. The overwhelming 93% implied probability reflects tight clustering in official guidance and low expected variability from synoptic patterns. A sudden shift in cloud cover or unforecasted advection of cooler air could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations and model runs show limited scope for such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,841Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 15, 2026, supports trader consensus around a 20°C minimum, with forecasts indicating overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear to hazy conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention often prevents deeper cooling despite daytime highs near 27–28°C. The overwhelming 93% implied probability reflects tight clustering in official guidance and low expected variability from synoptic patterns. A sudden shift in cloud cover or unforecasted advection of cooler air could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations and model runs show limited scope for such deviations before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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