Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco il 16 agosto?
31°C 39%
32°C 30%
30°C 14%
33°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
39%
32°C
30%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 30%
30°C 14%
33°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
28°C or below
$58 Vol.
2%
29°C
$87 Vol.
4%
30°C
$225 Vol.
14%
31°C
$2,165 Vol.
39%
32°C
$291 Vol.
30%
33°C
$231 Vol.
11%
34°C
$144 Vol.
2%
35°C
$73 Vol.
2%
36°C
$814 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$923 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,249Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,249Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show model consensus favoring a 31–32°C peak in Munich on August 16, driven by building high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and timing of any afternoon showers, which could cap temperatures near 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. With two-day lead times, observational updates from surface stations and satellite data will refine these projections before resolution, consistent with typical August variability where daily highs average near 24°C but warm anomalies occur frequently. Trader positioning around these central outcomes aligns with the narrow but real forecast dispersion rather than climatological norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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