Ensemble forecasts from major global models show a consensus for peak temperatures in Guangzhou around 35–36 °C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, limited cloud cover, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 33–34 °C, but recent model runs highlight modest warming from a building ridge and minimal tropical cyclone influence, elevating the probability of 36 °C as the mode. Traders weigh this against uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any last-minute frontal passages that could suppress highs by 1–2 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated high-resolution guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected within 48 hours will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 16 agosto?
36°C 40%
35°C 22%
37°C 16%
34°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
22%
36°C
40%
37°C
16%
38°C
5%
39°C o superiore
1%
36°C 40%
35°C 22%
37°C 16%
34°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
$367 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$198 Vol.
1%
32°C
$326 Vol.
2%
33°C
$223 Vol.
4%
34°C
$71 Vol.
12%
35°C
$125 Vol.
22%
36°C
$1,420 Vol.
40%
37°C
$210 Vol.
16%
38°C
$200 Vol.
5%
39°C o superiore
$97 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major global models show a consensus for peak temperatures in Guangzhou around 35–36 °C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, limited cloud cover, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 33–34 °C, but recent model runs highlight modest warming from a building ridge and minimal tropical cyclone influence, elevating the probability of 36 °C as the mode. Traders weigh this against uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any last-minute frontal passages that could suppress highs by 1–2 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated high-resolution guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected within 48 hours will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,419Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major global models show a consensus for peak temperatures in Guangzhou around 35–36 °C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, limited cloud cover, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 33–34 °C, but recent model runs highlight modest warming from a building ridge and minimal tropical cyclone influence, elevating the probability of 36 °C as the mode. Traders weigh this against uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any last-minute frontal passages that could suppress highs by 1–2 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated high-resolution guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected within 48 hours will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,419Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from major global models show a consensus for peak temperatures in Guangzhou around 35–36 °C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, limited cloud cover, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Historical climatology places average daily maxima near 33–34 °C, but recent model runs highlight modest warming from a building ridge and minimal tropical cyclone influence, elevating the probability of 36 °C as the mode. Traders weigh this against uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any last-minute frontal passages that could suppress highs by 1–2 °C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated high-resolution guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected within 48 hours will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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