Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14 point to a maximum of 27–32°C amid showers and high humidity (75–95% rain probability), anchoring trader consensus near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to suppress solar heating and limit afternoon peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the month, while typical summer humidity and urban heat effects keep overnight lows elevated. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides context, yet short-term model runs emphasize the moderating influence of rain. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities within the narrow 30–32°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 agosto?
31°C 39%
30°C 36%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
NUOVO
$24,866 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,866 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
36%
31°C
39%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 36%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
NUOVO
$24,866 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,866 Vol.
14 ago 2026
26°C or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,093 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,659 Vol.
2%
29°C
$4,903 Vol.
7%
30°C
$4,095 Vol.
36%
31°C
$2,889 Vol.
39%
32°C
$3,172 Vol.
17%
33°C
$575 Vol.
5%
34°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$941 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14 point to a maximum of 27–32°C amid showers and high humidity (75–95% rain probability), anchoring trader consensus near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to suppress solar heating and limit afternoon peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the month, while typical summer humidity and urban heat effects keep overnight lows elevated. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides context, yet short-term model runs emphasize the moderating influence of rain. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities within the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,866Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14 point to a maximum of 27–32°C amid showers and high humidity (75–95% rain probability), anchoring trader consensus near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to suppress solar heating and limit afternoon peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the month, while typical summer humidity and urban heat effects keep overnight lows elevated. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides context, yet short-term model runs emphasize the moderating influence of rain. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities within the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,866Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14 point to a maximum of 27–32°C amid showers and high humidity (75–95% rain probability), anchoring trader consensus near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to suppress solar heating and limit afternoon peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the month, while typical summer humidity and urban heat effects keep overnight lows elevated. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides context, yet short-term model runs emphasize the moderating influence of rain. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities within the narrow 30–32°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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