Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 agosto?
36°C 40%
35°C 25%
37°C 24%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
25%
36°C
40%
37°C
24%
38°C
4%
39°C o superiore
2%
36°C 40%
35°C 25%
37°C 24%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
$464 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$408 Vol.
2%
33°C
$287 Vol.
2%
34°C
$212 Vol.
8%
35°C
$33 Vol.
25%
36°C
$184 Vol.
40%
37°C
$143 Vol.
24%
38°C
$267 Vol.
4%
39°C o superiore
$33 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,353Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,353Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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