Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate.com and regional guidance indicate Shanghai's August 17 overnight low will likely settle near 25°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow. High humidity near 70–80% and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with a recent cooling trend after early-August peaks above 34°C. These conditions position the 25–26°C outcomes as frontrunners, with ensemble consensus showing modest uncertainty around timing of any breaks in cloud or localized rain that could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher. Traders weighting real-time data releases and updated model runs have driven the implied probabilities accordingly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 17 agosto?
26°C 47%
25°C 24%
27°C 19%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
24%
26°C
47%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C o superiore
1%
26°C 47%
25°C 24%
27°C 19%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
$280 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$145 Vol.
1%
23°C
$145 Vol.
4%
24°C
$174 Vol.
5%
25°C
$882 Vol.
24%
26°C
$696 Vol.
47%
27°C
$425 Vol.
19%
28°C
$170 Vol.
6%
29°C o superiore
$263 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate.com and regional guidance indicate Shanghai's August 17 overnight low will likely settle near 25°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow. High humidity near 70–80% and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with a recent cooling trend after early-August peaks above 34°C. These conditions position the 25–26°C outcomes as frontrunners, with ensemble consensus showing modest uncertainty around timing of any breaks in cloud or localized rain that could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher. Traders weighting real-time data releases and updated model runs have driven the implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,631Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate.com and regional guidance indicate Shanghai's August 17 overnight low will likely settle near 25°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow. High humidity near 70–80% and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with a recent cooling trend after early-August peaks above 34°C. These conditions position the 25–26°C outcomes as frontrunners, with ensemble consensus showing modest uncertainty around timing of any breaks in cloud or localized rain that could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher. Traders weighting real-time data releases and updated model runs have driven the implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,631Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate.com and regional guidance indicate Shanghai's August 17 overnight low will likely settle near 25°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow. High humidity near 70–80% and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with a recent cooling trend after early-August peaks above 34°C. These conditions position the 25–26°C outcomes as frontrunners, with ensemble consensus showing modest uncertainty around timing of any breaks in cloud or localized rain that could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher. Traders weighting real-time data releases and updated model runs have driven the implied probabilities accordingly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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