Current forecasts from meteorological models align closely with São Paulo’s August climatology, where winter highs typically average 23–25°C amid stable subtropical high-pressure systems and minimal frontal activity. This positions 24°C as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, with 25°C and 26°C following as traders weigh slight warm biases in recent model runs and observed dew-point trends. No significant anomalies or heatwaves have altered the baseline, and low precipitation supports efficient daytime heating without excessive cloud cover. Updated guidance expected from regional agencies will clarify any last-hour shifts in steering patterns or insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 agosto?
24°C 46%
25°C 25%
23°C 12%
26°C 12%
$15,974 Vol.
$15,974 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
46%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
25°C 25%
23°C 12%
26°C 12%
$15,974 Vol.
$15,974 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
46%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models align closely with São Paulo’s August climatology, where winter highs typically average 23–25°C amid stable subtropical high-pressure systems and minimal frontal activity. This positions 24°C as the market favorite at 43.5% implied probability, with 25°C and 26°C following as traders weigh slight warm biases in recent model runs and observed dew-point trends. No significant anomalies or heatwaves have altered the baseline, and low precipitation supports efficient daytime heating without excessive cloud cover. Updated guidance expected from regional agencies will clarify any last-hour shifts in steering patterns or insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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