Persistent marine layer development and strengthening onshore flow from the Pacific, driven by coastal troughing and a weakening upper-level ridge, are anchoring trader consensus around a 76–77°F high for Los Angeles on August 15. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs consistently project mid-70s peaks under gradual clearing after morning stratus, with light west-southwest winds limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with the ongoing regional cooling trend observed through mid-August, where stronger-than-typical marine influence has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms despite broader southwestern warmth earlier in the month. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official daily maximum observations at downtown or airport stations, with any late-day clearing or model shifts potentially favoring the secondary 74–75°F bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 15 agosto?
76-77°F 68%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 4%
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
68%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 68%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 4%
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
68%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer development and strengthening onshore flow from the Pacific, driven by coastal troughing and a weakening upper-level ridge, are anchoring trader consensus around a 76–77°F high for Los Angeles on August 15. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs consistently project mid-70s peaks under gradual clearing after morning stratus, with light west-southwest winds limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with the ongoing regional cooling trend observed through mid-August, where stronger-than-typical marine influence has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms despite broader southwestern warmth earlier in the month. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official daily maximum observations at downtown or airport stations, with any late-day clearing or model shifts potentially favoring the secondary 74–75°F bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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