Recent KMA forecasts and ensemble guidance place the Incheon station maximum near 30–32 °C on August 15 under persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Light southerly winds, 30 % precipitation probability, and high humidity further moderate surface warming compared with earlier August heatwave conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, while the official resolution will use the verified daily maximum at the Incheon station. Traders weigh these variables against typical mid-August climatology of 31–33 °C highs when assessing the narrow probability bands.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 15 agosto?
29°C 30%
28°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
$16,485 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,485 Vol.
15 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
29%
29°C
30%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 30%
28°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
$16,485 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,485 Vol.
15 ago 2026
24°C or below
$379 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$932 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,936 Vol.
7%
28°C
$2,667 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,421 Vol.
30%
30°C
$2,757 Vol.
27%
31°C
$1,599 Vol.
8%
32°C
$1,681 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,074 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$721 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and ensemble guidance place the Incheon station maximum near 30–32 °C on August 15 under persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Light southerly winds, 30 % precipitation probability, and high humidity further moderate surface warming compared with earlier August heatwave conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, while the official resolution will use the verified daily maximum at the Incheon station. Traders weigh these variables against typical mid-August climatology of 31–33 °C highs when assessing the narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,485Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and ensemble guidance place the Incheon station maximum near 30–32 °C on August 15 under persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Light southerly winds, 30 % precipitation probability, and high humidity further moderate surface warming compared with earlier August heatwave conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, while the official resolution will use the verified daily maximum at the Incheon station. Traders weigh these variables against typical mid-August climatology of 31–33 °C highs when assessing the narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,485Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA forecasts and ensemble guidance place the Incheon station maximum near 30–32 °C on August 15 under persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating and caps peak temperatures. Light southerly winds, 30 % precipitation probability, and high humidity further moderate surface warming compared with earlier August heatwave conditions. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30 °C because numerical models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, while the official resolution will use the verified daily maximum at the Incheon station. Traders weigh these variables against typical mid-August climatology of 31–33 °C highs when assessing the narrow probability bands.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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