**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other sources currently indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Incheon on August 14, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 31%, 25°C at 38.5%, 26°C at 25.5%).** Persistent summer heat and humidity across the Korean Peninsula, combined with heatwave alerts still in effect, keep nighttime temperatures elevated, while mostly cloudy skies on the 14th limit radiative cooling. Recent short-range guidance shows a gradual warming trend in minimums—from 23°C on the 12th to 24°C on the 13th and 25°C projected for the 14th—reflecting stable high-pressure influence and light winds that reduce mixing with cooler air aloft. Small differences among the top outcomes hinge on exact cloud thickness, any brief showers, or localized urban effects near Incheon International Airport versus central Seoul, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent and models in general agreement around the mid-20s, trader consensus reflects limited upside for extremes below 23°C or above 27°C under current synoptic conditions. Updated KMA briefings or new model runs over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could refine these probabilities.