Strong southerly flow behind a departing low is advecting cooler maritime polar air into the Wellington region on August 16, suppressing daytime maxima below the long-term August average of roughly 12 °C. Recent NIWA guidance and MetService model runs highlight this cold advection combined with showers, producing forecast highs near 8–10 °C, which aligns with the market’s heavy clustering around 10 °C (65.5 %) and 9 °C (18.5 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest given the well-established steering pattern, though minor timing shifts in frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Official MetService observations at Kelburn or the airport will resolve the exact maximum, with trader positioning reflecting consensus on these synoptic controls rather than climatological norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 16 agosto?
10°C 66%
9°C 19%
11°C 12%
12°C 3%
NUOVO
$13,998 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,998 Vol.
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
19%
10°C
66%
11°C
12%
12°C
3%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 66%
9°C 19%
11°C 12%
12°C 3%
NUOVO
$13,998 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,998 Vol.
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,740 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,508 Vol.
3%
9°C
$2,546 Vol.
19%
10°C
$2,928 Vol.
66%
11°C
$1,528 Vol.
12%
12°C
$813 Vol.
3%
13°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly flow behind a departing low is advecting cooler maritime polar air into the Wellington region on August 16, suppressing daytime maxima below the long-term August average of roughly 12 °C. Recent NIWA guidance and MetService model runs highlight this cold advection combined with showers, producing forecast highs near 8–10 °C, which aligns with the market’s heavy clustering around 10 °C (65.5 %) and 9 °C (18.5 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest given the well-established steering pattern, though minor timing shifts in frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Official MetService observations at Kelburn or the airport will resolve the exact maximum, with trader positioning reflecting consensus on these synoptic controls rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,998Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly flow behind a departing low is advecting cooler maritime polar air into the Wellington region on August 16, suppressing daytime maxima below the long-term August average of roughly 12 °C. Recent NIWA guidance and MetService model runs highlight this cold advection combined with showers, producing forecast highs near 8–10 °C, which aligns with the market’s heavy clustering around 10 °C (65.5 %) and 9 °C (18.5 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest given the well-established steering pattern, though minor timing shifts in frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Official MetService observations at Kelburn or the airport will resolve the exact maximum, with trader positioning reflecting consensus on these synoptic controls rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,998Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong southerly flow behind a departing low is advecting cooler maritime polar air into the Wellington region on August 16, suppressing daytime maxima below the long-term August average of roughly 12 °C. Recent NIWA guidance and MetService model runs highlight this cold advection combined with showers, producing forecast highs near 8–10 °C, which aligns with the market’s heavy clustering around 10 °C (65.5 %) and 9 °C (18.5 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest given the well-established steering pattern, though minor timing shifts in frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1 °C. Official MetService observations at Kelburn or the airport will resolve the exact maximum, with trader positioning reflecting consensus on these synoptic controls rather than climatological norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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